Diversity and Distributions

Connectivity is critical to sustaining endangered carnivores in speciose yet fragmented landscapes such as in the global south. Corridors to mitigate fragmentation are designed based on charismatic species or habitat-based approaches, but their multispecies effectiveness for maintaining functional connectivity remains poorly tested. We combined landscape genetic analyses across five sympatric carnivores - Panthera tigris, Panthera pardus, Prionailurus viverrinus, Felis chaus, and Melursus ursinus, to evaluate how landscape features shape functional connectivity in a globally important felid landscape. We then assessed the efficiency of existing tiger corridors and single-species surrogates for maintaining multispecies functional connectivity. Species exhibited contrasting responses to landscape variables, producing distinct resistance surfaces and connectivity corridors. Spatial similarity of connectivity between species pairs was highly variable (r = 0.14-0.93), but no single species effectively captured connectivity patterns of the broader carnivore community (maximum mean overlap of <0.7 across species). Moreover, genetically optimized corridors were at least 70% more efficient in capturing connectivity compared to existing tiger corridors, demonstrating mismatches between structural and functional connectivity. Our results highlight limitations of surrogate-based corridor planning and demonstrate that integrating multispecies functional connectivity can substantially improve conservation planning in human-dominated landscapes.

Controlling invasive species is a global conservation priority but is typically resource-limited, necessitating strategies to optimize control. Spatial prioritization methods can improve the efficiency of invader control by quantifying the benefits, costs, and risks of alternative intervention strategies. Yet prioritization designs are sensitive to the distinction between protecting native populations that are currently sympatric with invaders versus safeguarding presently allopatric native populations by preventing invader expansion. Gaining a better understanding of this distinction stands to improve our ability to prioritize the management of invaders whose distributions--and thus impacts on native species--are dynamic. We asked how prioritization designs addressing current versus future invader threats affected tradeoffs among focal species protection, biodiversity conservation, disturbance risk, and overlap with existing conservation infrastructure. As a case study, we spatially prioritized population control of invasive barred owls (Strix varia) in the northwestern US. We found that distinguishing between current versus future threats posed by barred owls to the native spotted owl (S. occidentalis) strongly mediated whether invader control stood to benefit native at-risk animal communities. Furthermore, this distinction also affected the degree to which population control would overlap with fire risk and federally protected forests, both of which plausibly affect the viability and success of conservation action. These results thus illustrate that deciding to prioritize the control of invaders based on their current versus future impacts on native species can dramatically affect the distribution and characteristics of high-priority areas for management. Our findings also directly inform control of barred owls in the northwestern US: we found that prioritizing future threats to spotted owls could protect at-risk amphibian communities from novel barred owl predation, but that high fire risk and minimal protected forest may complicate implementation. Thus, in both our system and more broadly, spatial prioritization methods are an important tool for quantitative, reproducible, and successful invader control.

The small mammals in the tropical savannas of northern Australia, have undergone a degree of change in recent decades, best documented in the Northern Territory. Data is limited from northern Queensland and though the same trends are assumed, the topographic and climatic features differ substantially. In this study we examined data systematically collected from 725 sites between 1998-2012 in three bioregions representing a climatic gradient: from semi-arid to monsoon tropical savannas. We investigated via information-theoretic models and model averaging, the relationship between five mammal groupings and three landscape variables (fractional cover green, elevation and vegetation diversity) to elucidate any consistent or different patterns in the mammal fauna. Key patterns included relationships with increasing elevation (critical weight range species richness positively associated with elevation, rodent species richness negatively associated), increasing rodent and dasyurid species richness with vegetation diversity, and lower macropod and dasyurids abundance with increasing fractional cover green. These relationships underscore a need to consider mammal conservation in Queensland with more nuance than in the more topographically inert Northern Territory. Management strategies need to be more attuned to taxonomic and regional differences, to prevent perverse outcomes.

Understanding how habitat connectivity shapes biodiversity remains a major ecological challenge. In particular, the roles of connectivity and ecological heterogeneity on co-variation in plant species diversity and intraspecific genetic diversity is not understood. We combined species distribution modelling, resistance-to-movement mapping, landscape connectivity analysis and population genomics to investigate diversity patterns in three wet meadow herbs, Scorzonera humilis, Oenanthe peucedanifolia and Lychnis flos-cuculi, and their surrounding plant communities. Genetic diversity patterns differed strongly among co-occurring species. Connectivity metrics explained genetic diversity only in O. peucedanifolia, and environmental drivers of genetic diversity were highly species specific. Importantly, genetic diversity changed with the presence of some species in the community, but it was consistently unrelated to indicators of local plant community diversity. Overall, the processes shaping within-species biodiversity may differ fundamentally from those structuring habitat connectivity and plant species communities, with important implications for conservation.

Aim: To forecast near-future arrivals of non-native terrestrial and freshwater vertebrates at the regional level. Location: Global (geopolitical regions worldwide, including countries and main administrative divisions). Methods: We compiled first regional record data and assembled functional and macroecological variables for 1,931 non-native vertebrate species. For each region, we identified recently arrived non-native species using retrospective windows of thirty and twenty years ending in 2015 (1986-2015; 1996-2015). We then fitted region-specific random-forest models classifying recently arrived species versus those not yet arrived using as predictors: (i) harmonised species traits (e.g., habitat, diet, body size and native-range attributes) and (ii) spread history, capturing time since first record elsewhere. Predictive performance was evaluated using leave-one-out cross-validation, comparing full models with trait-only and spread-only variants. We also assessed relationships between predictive accuracy, predictor importance, and the geographic positioning and trade connectedness of regions. Finally, we predicted region-specific probabilities of arrival for species not yet recorded. Results: Forecasting accuracy was consistently high across regions and taxa, with AUC values above 0.9 in more than half of the focal regions. Full models substantially outperformed models using either predictor set alone, and spread-history-only models typically exceeded trait-only models. Relative importance of spread-history predictors declined with geographic distance to the focal region, whereas predictability was lower in highly trade-connected regions. Predicted near-future high-risk arrivals were dominated by birds and freshwater fishes and showed strong regional structuring. A small set of species ranked highly across many regions (e.g., birds: Phasianus colchicus, Acridotheres tristis, Amandava amandava, Colinus virginianus, Corvus splendens and Lonchura malacca; fishes: Coregonus peled and Oreochromis mossambicus; mammal: Oryctolagus cuniculus), suggesting substantial unrealised spread potential. Main conclusions: Near-future regional arrivals of non-native vertebrates are predictable from spread history and species traits. This enables scalable, updateable regional watchlists to support prevention, early detection and horizon scanning.

Land-use and land-cover (LULC) change is a dominant driver of biodiversity loss, yet its long-term role in restructuring species distribution remains poorly understood due to limited historical baselines and the scarcity of long-term analyses across multiple ecological transition zones. Here, we investigate nearly two centuries of land-use change across a biogeographically diverse region to evaluate how landscape transformation has reshaped vertebrate distribution range dynamics, and whether ecoregional context, habitat specialization, and taxonomic identity better explain these patterns than recent landscape change alone. Using Texas, a biogeographic crossroads with diverse ecoregional zones and a long history of intensive land-use, we quantify distributional changes in 100 native vertebrate species (mammals, birds, reptiles, and amphibians), using Vernon Baileys late nineteenth-century surveys as a historical benchmark. We integrated multi-temporal LULC datasets with spatial and multivariate analyses to assess how habitat change, species traits, and regional context relate to patterns of range expansion, contraction, and redistribution. We show that Texas has undergone non-linear landscape transformations characterized by early agricultural expansion followed by cropland abandonment, shrubland encroachment, and rapid urbanization. Range contractions were most pronounced among amphibians, reptiles, and habitat specialists, whereas generalist species and many birds exhibited greater range stability or expansion. Across taxa, primary habitat, vertebrate class, and ecoregional context emerged as the strongest predictors of distributional change, underscoring the importance of historical and environmental context over simple measures of habitat loss and fragmentation. These results indicate that while long-term LULC change establishes the underlying landscape template, species responses are structured by ecological context, including habitat affinity, taxonomic traits, and regional environmental gradients. By linking historical landscape trajectories to contemporary biodiversity patterns, this study provides a transferable framework for investigating how land-use legacies influence species distributions and community reassembly in heterogeneous human-dominated landscapes, highlighting the importance of adaptive capacity and connectivity for conservation planning.

Effective conservation planning increasingly relies on species distribution models (SDMs) to guide where actions deliver the greatest biodiversity benefits through spatial conservation prioritization. However, SDMs are inherently uncertain, and this uncertainty propagates through prioritization processes, affecting the identification of priority areas and influencing conservation decisions. Here, we evaluate whether correcting SDM overprediction reduces uncertainty propagation into spatial conservation prioritization. Using two large European datasets of vertebrates and invertebrates, we compared unconstrained SDMs with models corrected for overprediction through a Bayesian integration of occurrences, expert range maps, and habitat suitability. We found that overprediction correction reduced spatial and performance uncertainty, with uncertainty strongly structured by model and algorithm choice and amplified when overprediction was not corrected. Although no single modelling adjustment fully eliminates uncertainty propagation from SDMs into prioritization, we demonstrate that overprediction correction consistently reduces it across datasets, taxa, and modelling approaches, highlighting its importance for robust conservation planning.

The ongoing decline in biodiversity highlights the need for understanding the causes of population changes. This study uses 25-year, large-scale monitoring dataset to investigate the influence of climate and landscape structure on the annual population growth rates of 84 bird species across Poland. Our methodological framework involves the spatiotemporal decomposition of these environmental drivers to decouple demographic effects of long-term carrying capacities from the short-term effects of environmental perturbations. Using species-specific demographic models followed by a community-wide meta-analysis, we evaluated how individual species responses scale up to shape community-level dynamics. The results reveal significant variation in species-specific responses to individual drivers. At the community level, our findings suggest that bird populations are mainly regulated by the long-term spatial constraints rather than short-term disturbances. Persistent environmental heterogeneity had the strongest positive demographic effect on birds, followed by temperature, forest dominance over croplands, and precipitation. In contrast, rapid temporal shifts in environmental heterogeneity and precipitation anomalies negatively affected population growth, whereas urbanisation consistently exerted a negative effect across both spatiotemporal dimensions. Our results highlight the significance of protecting existing heterogeneous and ecotonal habitats, as well as the need to incorporate features that enhance habitat heterogeneity into urban development. Article impact statementPreserving heterogeneous habitats is essential for the conservation of bird populations.

Understanding the drivers of genomic health and their consequences for population viability is often overlooked but potentially important to effective conservation amidst the biodiversity crisis of the Anthropocene. Leatherback turtle (Dermochelys coriacea) populations have declined globally due to anthropogenic factors, with some populations losing over 90% of their abundance over the past 30-50 years. While conservation efforts have been successful in stabilizing some populations, others continue to decline, and the reasons for these differential trajectories remain unclear. To assess how recent demographic factors, such as population size and decline, influence population genomic health, we combined population monitoring information with medium depth whole-genome and reduced representation resequencing data from globally representative populations. We found that small-stable populations have lower genomic diversity and higher inbreeding than large declining populations, reflecting prolonged small population sizes and limited gene flow. Yet, small-stable populations also show evidence of deleterious allele purging, suggesting genetic resilience. This, combined with lack of detectable genomic erosion over the study period, provides hope for potential recovery of healthy leatherback populations provided that anthropogenic threats are effectively mitigated. However, potential time lags and possible recent increases in inbreeding among close relatives in recently declined populations warrant continued monitoring and assessment. Genomic and abundance-based metrics were less aligned following rapid population declines, emphasizing the different timescales of the evolutionary and demographic processes they reflect, respectively, and the strength in their complementary, integrative use for extinction risk assessments. This also supports that it is not too late to turn the tide for recently declined leatherback populations and that continued investment in conservation efforts and threat reductions are warranted. Collectively, our results highlight how recent and historical demography shapes current genomic health and recovery potential in leatherback turtles, aids understanding of current risks and informs future conservation and management strategies.

AimA comprehensive understanding of the spatial distribution of biodiversity is hindered by fragmented datasets, sampling biases, and inconsistent observation protocols. Here, we present a workflow that integrates disparate datasets to produce large scale maps of biodiversity metrics as a basis for management-relevant information tools. We use integrated species distribution modeling (iSDM) to account for sampling biases and disparate data collection techniques, taking advantage of the vast numbers of open datasets available in data aggregators like GBIF. LocationNorway (excluding Svalbard and Jan Mayen) TaxonVascular plants MethodsThe workflow consists of four main steps: data acquisition, data integration, integrated species distribution modelling (iSDM), and the production of derived outputs. Input data include structured surveys, opportunistic observations, and environmental covariates. These are standardised and integrated into a point-processed based iSDM framework to produce species richness maps, associated uncertainties, and sampling effort maps. The outputs are further processed to identify biodiversity hotspots or to summarise species-environment relationships. The workflow used vascular plant data from Norway, combining occurrence-only and presence-absence datasets with environmental covariates. Outputs were generated at a spatial resolution of 500 x 500 meters, balancing accuracy, computational feasibility and relevance for management decisions. High-performance computing resources were utilized for model fitting and predictions. A subset of available data was used to validate the species richness maps. ResultsWe produced detailed maps of species richness, uncertainties and sampling intensity across Norways heterogeneous landscape, incorporating 1218 species in our final results. The species richness patterns highlight patterns consistent with previous mapping efforts. Validation showed an increase in model accuracy when compared to models which did not use an iSDM framework. The workflow highlights limitations in the infrastructure of the currently openly accessible data, particularly the need for more structured presence-absence datasets and standardized metadata. Main conclusionsThis study underscores the potential of workflows that integrate disparate datasets for biodiversity modeling. To maximize accuracy and utility, future efforts should focus on improving data standardization, the publication and collection of more structured data, and fostering data-sharing collaborations. Advances in the workflow itself, including optimising modelling covariates and integrating more comprehensive spatio-temporal aspects, will also increase the relevance of the outputs. These advances will increase our ability to estimate species richness with a precision and accuracy that can reliably inform conservation and management decisions.

iNaturalist has rapidly grown to become one of the largest contributors of global biodiversity data, being widely used in academic research, to support and inform applied conservation, and to help develop policy indicators for decision makers. However, the availability of iNaturalist data varies based on the digital platform it is accessed from. Here, we assess whether the pathway used to access iNaturalist data from three commonly available biodiversity data sources: iNaturalist, the Global Biodiversity Information Facility (GBIF) and ESRIs ArcGIS Online, alters occurrence record availability and downstream analyses for ecological inference. First, we investigate iNaturalist data availability on ArcGIS Online and find that the reduced field metadata for record location and obscuration information can lead to biased assumptions in the spatial ranges of sensitive species. Second, when assessing iNaturalist records available through GBIF, we find that restrictive Creative Commons observation licenses prevent an average of 26.1% of iNaturalist Research Grade records from being exported to GBIF, and this can lead to differences in environmental niche analysis when compared to datasets including all available research grade records. Understanding differences in platform licensing when integrating across biodiversity data repositories is another consideration for researchers and practitioners when conducting biodiversity assessments. Our results show that the pathway through which iNaturalist data are accessed can function as a methodological filter, potentially altering spatial coverage, the climatic conditions represented by occurrence datasets, and downstream ecological analysis.

O_LIWhen eradication is unfeasible, invasive predator control should evaluate how removal affects ecological responses by native species. Assessments often use total invasive predator abundance to evaluate prey responses, yet intraspecific variation in diet and space use means that some subgroups cause disproportionate impacts. Identifying these problem individuals, and the spatial scales over which their impacts operate, can enable targeted spatially explicit removal to maximise impact reduction. However, despite individual-level information is often already collected during trapping operations it is seldom included when analysing predator impacts, potentially biasing the conservation outcomes expected under blanket removal. C_LIO_LIWe use a novel framework and two decades of invasive predator control data to estimate how individual variation in residency status influences the distance-dependent impacts of invasive American mink Neogale vison on water vole Arvicola amphibius occupancy across two prey surveys. We also develop a sub-model to predict mink residency status for individuals with missing age data. C_LIO_LIThe probability of capturing adult mink decreased with elevation and years of control, indicating that long-term control altered the resident population and demographic composition of mink around water vole sites. C_LIO_LIDistance-dependent negative impacts of mink varied by residency status, becoming negligible at approximately 20 km from water vole sites for resident mink and 2 km for transient. The spatial scale of mink impacts was largest during the first vole survey when resident mink were more abundant, and declined rapidly for the second survey, when mink were less abundant and spatially clustered. Our results suggest that water voles have benefited mostly from reducing resident mink rather than the total population, especially in early control phases. C_LIO_LIManagers can use our framework to develop spatially explicit and impact-based strategies, not restricted to invasive species control, to construct empirically informed management buffers around populations of conservation concern. Long-term efforts will change the landscape and invasive predator contexts, and thus we recommend iteratively updating and re-evaluating management outcome evaluations. We argue that incorporating individual heterogeneity improves our understanding of ecological mechanisms influencing management success but that the suitability of targeted strategies should be evaluated for target socioecological contexts. C_LI

Italy, one of Europe's most biodiverse countries, is expected to undergo landscape-wide nature recovery thanks to the EU Nature Restoration Regulation. National red lists represent critical instruments for informing conservation strategies at finer geographic resolutions and prioritizing taxa of national importance; yet the taxonomic completeness of Italian red lists remains unquantified in relation to national biodiversity. Equally, no systematic evaluation has been conducted on the representation of threatened and endemic Italian taxa within European and international conservation directives and treaties. We present the first comprehensive review of threat status and policy inclusion of Italian biodiversity, encompassing animals, plants, fungi, lichens, and algae. We cross-referenced national species checklists with Italian, European, Mediterranean, and global IUCN red lists, alongside policy annexes from the Birds and Habitats Directives, the Bern and Barcelona Conventions, and CITES. Our dataset comprised 76,845 taxa, of which 8,389 are endemic; yet red list assessments exist for only 10% of this total (7,349 taxa, including 1,700 endemics). Conservation policy coverage is even more restrictive: only 1,346 taxa are listed under at least one legislative instrument, with only half of these classified as threatened. This constitutes a compounding double bottleneck with most of the Italian biodiversity remaining both unassessed and unprotected and systematically biasing conservation policy toward an unrepresentative fraction of national biodiversity. We recommend accelerated national assessments and urgent establishment of a national biodiversity priority list founded on transparent prioritization protocols. This would complement ecosystem-based interventions mandated by the Nature Restoration Regulation while correcting for vertebrate-centred biases.

Despite substantial global commitments to expand protected-area networks, the strategic allocation of limited resources remains challenging. Spatial conservation planning helps identify priority regions that maximise conservation benefits per unit area. Yet, they also tend to neglect two fundamental aspects of conservation: climate-driven range shifts and the representation of environmentally distinct populations within species. Here, we propose a continental-scale conservation planning framework that explicitly accounts for both processes through novel routines implemented in the conservation planning software CAPTAIN. We apply this framework to European crop wild relatives (CWR), for which niche coverage is a focal priority, as it underpins their potential to support agricultural adaptation to future environmental stressors through breeding programs. Comparative analyses on a subset of 186 CWR associated with five focal crops show that accounting for range shifts and niche coverage leads to substantially different conservation priorities from those obtained with a baseline model based on current distributions only. These additions reduced the number of non-protected species by 64%, increased the average protected distribution range by 43%, increased mean niche coverage from 75.8% to 84.5% and reduced the number of species with less than half of their niche protected from 35 to 10. Applied to a more comprehensive checklist of 1,140 European CWRs, the final framework identifies continental-scale priority areas representing 93.5% of these taxa and includes 94.4% of its critically endangered species. Our results highlight the importance of incorporating both temporal dynamics and within-species environmental representation when designing conservation strategies under climate change. RepositoryThe repository will be made publicly accessible after publication at doi: https://10.5281/zenodo.19855597

MotivationHigh-quality biodiversity data with temporal replicates, produced using standardized fieldwork protocols, are rare yet essential for studying long-term biodiversity dynamics. Most available large-scale temporal data only date back one or two decades and/or originate from spatially discrete local observations. Here, we release spatially contiguous, systematically collected, and gridded occurrence data for breeding birds in Czechia, covering the periods 1973--1977, 1985--1989, 2001--2003, and 2014--2017. This database represents the monitoring of ca. 41% of European bird species over 40 years, and it is one of the longest-running nationwide bird-monitoring efforts in the world. We also complement the original data with geospatial metrics to characterize the sampling polygons and provide proxies of sampling effort. By making this dataset openly accessible, we aim to strengthen biodiversity change studies, citizen science, and ornithological research with long-term, highly curated records, backed by well-documented methods, and ready for integration with other datasets. Main Types of Variables ContainedA total of 286302 breeding bird detections/non-detections per-grid-cell from 247 species (ca. 41% of the 596 species breeding in Europe). The fourth atlas also contains 9,471 timed species lists totaling 276076 additional records collected with standardized effort and partially random spatial sampling on smaller squares dividing the original grid cells. Spatial Location and GrainCzechia (total area of 78,871 km2) covered by a grid of 887 grid cells of 10 by 10 km for the period 1973--77, and 678 cells of 6 minutes latitude and 10 minutes longitude ([~]11.2 x 12 kilometers) from 1985 onwards. The timed species lists were collected across 4,851 of 9,844 small squares ([~]2.8 x 3 km) that subdivide each original grid-cell into 16 smaller polygons. Time Period and GrainThe sampling years were 1973--1977 (5 breeding seasons), 1985--1989 (5 breeding seasons), 2001--2003 (3 breeding seasons), and 2014--2017 (4 breeding seasons). Major Taxa and Level of MeasurementBirds (Aves). The breeding evidence per species and grid cell was classified following the European Breeding Birds Atlas 2. We provide species-level records matched to the HBW/BirdLife version 9 (2024). FormatThe dataset is available for download from Zenodo and is provided as CSV files with fields standardized to Darwin Core, and a GeoPackage file containing all of the spatial grids used. The data are organized into separate files for records and sampling events, corresponding to each atlas. All data are licensed under CC-BY 4.0.

The European flat oyster (Ostrea edulis), like numerous other oyster species, has been exploited for millennia and cultivated and translocated for centuries. Following a severe population decline, and in the context of ongoing conservation and restoration programs, genetic considerations must now be addressed to avoid mistakes. The objective of our study was to complement population genetic studies conducted at various scales along European coasts. Our sampling primarily targeted the French Atlantic, English Channel, and Mediterranean coasts, aiming to provide a fine-scale genetic characterization of populations in these regions. By integrating SNP array and low-coverage sequencing datasets, we obtained a comprehensive overview of the population genetic structure of Ostrea edulis across western Europe. Most previously identified clusters in Western Europe were confirmed. In France, populations assigned to these clusters exhibited notable within-patch homogeneity. However, two key findings emerged: (1) an extensive overlap zone between the Atlantic and western Mediterranean clusters, spanning at least from southern Portugal to southern France, and (2) the detection of a novel, clearly distinct cryptic cluster east of the English Channel, whose geographic range remains to be better delineated. These insights are critical for informing management decisions, particularly as restoration and conservation plans are currently being implemented across the species range.

Sky islands are high-elevation ecosystems surrounded by lowland habitats that create isolated environments with distinct climatic conditions. These factors have driven the evolution of many endemic species, separated from their larger, contiguous populations. An Individual-Based Model (IBM) was used to simulate population dynamics by modeling the behaviors and interactions of Tamiasciurus hudsonicus grahamensis (Mount Graham Red Squirrel) a subspecies of the American red squirrel (Tamiasciurus hudsonicus) that is endemic to the Pinaleno Mountains in southeastern Arizona. This approach can help predict future population trends based on historical species data leading to better conservation decisions. Using species-specific ecological preferences--including temperature, precipitation, and vegetation indices (NDVI)--an IBM was developed to simulate population dynamics and spatial distribution projections through 2100. Climate change projections, based on the best- and worst-case scenarios outlined in the 2014 National Climate Assessment, were incorporated to assess potential future population trends under changing environmental conditions. The population faces a 45-62% probability of extinction by 2100, with a significant risk of extinction within the next 50 years. A translocation experiment was conducted to evaluate the viability of relocating individuals to the Chiricahua Mountains, another sky island with a larger habitable area. However, the risk of extinction remains even higher (87-89%) due to environmental disturbances affecting both the Chiricahua and Pinaleno regions. This highlights the challenges of conservation efforts in the face of climate change and emphasizes the need for targeted management strategies to preserve this critically endangered subspecies.

O_LIRapid climate warming threatens mountain biodiversity, particularly species with narrow climatic niches and limited dispersal capacity. Mountain ecosystems are especially vulnerable because steep environmental gradients restrict opportunities for species redistribution. The Kashmir Himalaya, a globally important biodiversity hotspot experiencing accelerated warming, has already undergone an increase of approximately 0.8 {degrees}C during the 20th century and is projected to warm by 2.5-2.8 {degrees}C by the 2050s. Despite climatic changes, future persistence of many threatened plants remains poorly understood. C_LIO_LIHere, we evaluate present and future habitat suitability for two Himalayan taxa, Gentiana cachemirica, an endemic species, and Gentiana kurroo, a critically endangered species. Specifically, we quantify how climate change and topographic variability influence species distribution and persistence under multiple emission scenarios. C_LIO_LIWe applied species distribution models (SDMs) to presence data of both species and forecasted habitat suitability under four Shared Socioeconomic Pathways (SSP126, SSP245, SSP370, and SSP585). We hypothesized that G. cachemirica, a narrow-niche, low-dispersal species, is expected to lose habitat due to thermal sensitivity, while G. kurroo may persist or expand under favorable scenarios because of broader tolerance and higher dispersal. We also expected microclimatic refuges to buffer populations, whereas extreme warming would accelerate habitat decline. C_LIO_LIThe predictions of our SDMs under current conditions indicate a highly restricted and fragmented habitat for G. cachemirica, covering 651 km{superscript 2}, but a broader suitable area (2,452 km{superscript 2}) for G. kurroo. In agreement with our hypotheses, our forecasts indicate severe habitat contraction (55-70%) for G. cachemirica across all SSPs, but scenario-dependent responses for G. kurroo, including modest expansion under low-emission scenarios and severe declines under high-emission scenarios. Centroid analyses suggest pronounced climate-driven range shifts, with G. kurroo projected to migrate up to 33 km toward the east-southeast by 2100, while G. cachemirica is projected to display limited dispersal capacity. C_LIO_LISynthesis. Our findings suggest that climatic niche breadth, dispersal limitation, and topographic buffering strongly mediate species responses to warming in mountain ecosystems. Endemic specialists are projected to experience disproportionate habitat fragmentation and range restriction, highlighting the importance of conserving climatic refugia and elevational connectivity under rapid environmental change. C_LI

The release of tens of millions of common pheasants (Phasianus colchicus) across the UK for shooting may pose an ecological risk to native species and sensitive habitats, particularly if the birds move into protected areas (PAs) such as Special Areas of Conservation (SAC), Special Protection Areas (SPA), and Sites of Special Scientific Interest (SSSI). The extent of this ecological risk depends on the abundance of pheasants in these sensitive sites, especially if they are attracted there after the shooting season when game management efforts to retain the birds cease. We used relative pheasant abundance measures derived from British Trust for Ornithology bird atlas data from 3793 2km tetrads across four English counties (Berkshire, Cornwall, Devon, and Hertfordshire) to determine if pheasants preferentially disperse into or reside in areas with greater PA coverage. We analysed relative abundance in both the winter shooting season and the breeding season using a Bayesian occupancy-abundance model, controlling for habitat type and diversity. Our results showed a strong influence of habitat on pheasant abundance, consistent with known habitat preferences. However, we found no evidence of a relationship between relative pheasant abundance and the proportion of ecologically relevant PA coverage in a tetrad. This lack of a relationship was consistent across all four counties and across both the winter and breeding seasons. Our finding suggests that common pheasants do not preferentially disperse into or reside in protected areas compared to surrounding, unprotected land, suggesting that the ecological impacts caused by released pheasants are no more likely to occur in protected areas than in non-protected areas.

The coast redwood (Sequoia sempervirens) is a long-lived, hexaploid conifer of high ecological, cultural, and economic value whose range has been greatly reduced by historical logging. Effective restoration and conservation depend on understanding patterns of genetic differentiation across the redwood range to delineate populations for management prioritization. Yet, past range-wide studies provided only a partial picture of population structure in coast redwood as they relied on a limited set of genetic markers or limited sampling, as sequencing was done on the same range-wide provenance collection. Here, we analyze 334,029 SNPs from a new range-wide set of 224 individuals using a dosage-based approach that accounts for polyploidy. Principal coordinates and neighbor-joining analyses reveal clear latitudinal genetic differentiation, with a distinct break south of San Francisco Bay. Outlier SNP analysis indicates new candidate loci involved in salinity tolerance, climate stress response, and nutrient uptake, suggesting potential local adaptation. These results point to the central role of geography in shaping genetic variation in coast redwood and give scientific basis for designing new conservation strategies and future experiments, including assisted migration, provenance trials, and restoration planning aimed at preserving the species into the future.